Understanding the current state of the Iranian regime

Understanding the current state of the Iranian regime

These days, the fascist regime ruling Iran is in the worst state of its 40-year history, surrounded by a multitude of political, social and economic crises. Iranian officials are regularly confessing to their regime's deadlock and their incapacity to find a way out.

In contrast, the Iranian resistance and the people of Iran are gaining momentum with every passing day, especially after putting behind one of the greatest political acts of their history.

In this short piece, we will briefly examine the current status of the Iranian regime.

To understand the current state of the Iranian regime and its supreme leader Ali Khamenei, one must not listen to the official statements of the regime's officials and its media. The real state of the regime is reflected in undisclosed discussions and developments that are happening within the regime.

Iranian regime president Hassan Rouhani regularly says that the current state of his regime is even worse than the time of the eight-year Iran-Iraq war.

Ali Rabiei, the spokesperson of Rouhani's government and a veteran torturer and interrogator in the 1980s stated it more clearly. "The current sanctions can't be compared to the previous round of sanctions. I've seen that sometimes their comparing these two eras, but it's incomparable," Rabiei said on July 14.

Meanwhile, analysts with ties to the regime constantly try to find evidence and documents to prove that the regime is on the right side and the U.S. is on the wrong side of the history, and thus try to boost the morale of the regime's troops and prevent its shaking ranks from collapsing.

In this regard, on July 15, the state-run Mehr news agency ran a piece on a supposed interview with one of the former members of the U.S. nuclear negotiations team. "One of the former members of the nuclear negotiations teams from the U.S., Richard Nephew, who is renowned for being the architect of sanctions [against the Iranian regime] during Obama's presidency, said, 'The U.S. can't return to the trigger mechanism, and therefore the reinstatement of the sanctions will be difficult,'" Mehr wrote.

On the other hand, other state-run newspapers, while trying not to portray a critical situation, can't paint a better picture.

For instance, Arman, a newspaper that is closely tied to Rouhani's faction, wrote on July 15, "Currently, the U.S. is effectively rallying the international community in its favor. Tehran is no in difficult conditions. The Europeans have shown that they can't stand up against the U.S. Therefore, with the current situation, the main concern is to settle the issue in a way that doesn't lead to military confrontation."

Meanwhile, Keyhan, which reflects the views of Khamenei, also on July 15 ran a piece that caused much concern within the regime. Keyhan wrote, "For 12 years, world powers accused [the regime] for developing nuclear bombs. After years this illusion had faded due to the negotiations, yet the case of the Possible Military Dimension of Iran’s nuclear program was not closed. In recent days we witnessed the session of the IAEA at the demand of the U.S., in which they issued a resolution, stressing that instead of PMD, the [regime’s] nuclear program has military dimensions and our activities in the past were illegal. Signing the nuclear deal turned these allegations to a credible and lawful international document. Therefore, tension is interminable.”

Keyhan Also pictured the regime’s isolation: “We are not having problems only with world powers. We face problems in dealing with countries in the Middle East such as Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and the UAE.”

These tensions have pushed the regime to edge, causing constant panic for its authorities, therefore it is looking for a credible mediator in order to defuse tensions.

Whether the news is right or wrong, engineered or not, picture one hard reality:  the Iranian regime is at a dead end and cannot get out of it unless it backs down from its so-called "principals" and yields so the demands of the international community. However, doing so will irreversibly damage the entire regime; right at a time when its viable alternative, the NCRI, and MEK, are gaining momentum with their series of massive gathering and marches from Brussels, Washington, D.C. to Berlin, with Stockholm and London still on schedule. And at its peak in Ashraf 3, as well as the activities of the MEK Resistance Units inside Iran.