OPINION: AFTER 40 YEARS, IRAN IS NO
CLOSER TO ‘MODERATION’
Lord Anthony Clarke | Former Chairman, U.K. Labour Party
In February 1979, the people of Iran threw off the rule of
one dictator, only to watch as religious extremists installed another.
Ayatollah Khomeini’s rise to power had far-reaching consequences for the
Iranian people and for much of the world.
The 40th anniversary of the Iranian Revolution represents an
important opportunity to examine those consequences and reassess collective
approaches to dealing with the regime and helping its people.
In recent years, there has been talk of a trend toward
“moderation” among Iran’s leadership. But even more recently, the Trump
administration has turned sharply away from the former praise of Rouhani and
his associates. Last May, the United States withdrew from the Joint
Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).
Despite the International Atomic Energy Agency saying Iran
was generally in compliance with its obligations under the deal, President
Trump cited the deal’s failure to accomplish its broader aim of contributing to
peace and stability in the Middle East.
The reality of the situation is that while Iran’s nuclear
activities were being held partially in check, its overall behaviors were
emboldened by what the regime’s opponents tend to call “policies of
appeasement.”
This language was used, for instance, in a statement issued
by the National Council of Resistance of Iran, in the wake of the U.S. State
Department’s announcement that it would be hosting an international conference
in Warsaw to discuss Middle Eastern affairs, particularly the expanding,
destructive influence of the Islamic Republic.
The consequences of this situation are reflected in virtually
every aspect of Iran policy other than the negotiations leading up to the
JCPOA. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, as the final authority on all such matters,
begrudgingly permitted those negotiations while still emphasizing the status of
the United States and Britain as “enemies” of the Islamic Republic.
Yet that was enough to put the brakes on international
scrutiny of Tehran’s overall conduct, at least until the Trump administration
took over the White House in 2017.
In withdrawing from the JCPOA last May, the U.S. president
highlighted the regime’s ongoing development and testing of ballistic missiles,
in clear violation of United Nations Security Council Resolution 2231. He also
pointed to the role that Tehran has played in prolonging and worsening regional
conflicts through support of Hezbollah, the Assad regime in Syria, and the
Houthi rebels in Yemen.
In other speeches, Trump has also affirmed that the Iranian
people are the “longest-suffering victims” of the religious dictatorship, and
he has sought to keep attention focused on Iran’s status as the world’s leading
state sponsor of terrorism.
The latter goal should be easy in light of the recent
proliferation of Iranian terror threats directed at targets on Western soil.
The vast majority of these targets were affiliated with the
NCRI, whose members already comprise the vast majority of persons who have been
murdered by the Iranian regime. The worst of these killings, including the massacre
of 30,000 political prisoners in the summer of 1988, are in the nation’s past.
But this is by no means indicative of a trend toward
moderation.
Quite to the contrary, numerous high-ranking Iranian
officials have been explicitly advocating for greater levels of brutality in
their repression of dissent and their enforcement of sharia law.
Just days ago, Prosecutor General Mohammad Jafar Montazeri told
Iranian state media that he considered it “unfortunate” the judiciary was not
carrying out more amputations, and he lamented the fact that Tehran is making
any effort whatsoever to avoid international condemnation.
Still, those efforts are as superficial as can be, and they
are reminiscent of small concessions offered in nuclear negotiations in order
to secure broad toleration in other areas.
The Iranian judiciary continues to defy the international
community over matters like the execution of juvenile offenders, and it
continues to push for death sentences as punishment for those who have
participated in the past year’s nationwide protests, which rejected both the
“moderate” and hardline factions of Iranian politics and advocated instead for
a wholesale change of government.
Although the Trump administration has avoided the phrase
regime change, it is sure to use the Warsaw conference to push for policies
that trend in that direction. The time has come for what the Opposition leader
Mrs. Maryam Rajavi said was “imperative to rectifying” four decades of relative
inaction in the face of ongoing abuses by the Iranian regime.
Lord Clarke of Hampstead is the former chairman of the Labour
Party and a senior member of British Committee for Iran Freedom in U.K.
Parliament.
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